During the last couple of days, I have been watching the US Presidential race for the Republican and Democrat nominees. The Democrat race has been a very interesting one and I have often found myself being glued to the TV, while closely following the latest events in what has become a very captivating race for the presidential nomination.
In the beginning New York Senator Hillary Clinton was the frontrunner and one to beat, and was significantly ahead of Illinois Senator, Barack Obama and former North Carolina Senator, John Edwards. But now the tables have turned. Senator Obama has not only won the Iowa caucus, but has now surged ahead of Senator Clinton in popularity in New Hampshire, with only 2 days to go before the New Hampshire primary.
Current poll numbers:
Democrats - Barack Obama 39%, Hillary Clinton 29%, John Edwards 16%.
This is interesting because just a few days ago both Obama and Clinton were tied at 33%
Republicans – John McCain 32%, Mitt Romney 26%, Mike Huckabee 14%
The other thing that is also interesting is the electability issue among Democrat Presidential candidates. In December 45% thought that Clinton had the best chance of beating the GOP nominee. Now barely a few weeks later, the polls has changed with 42% thinking that Obama has the best chance of beating the GOP nominee, compared to 31% for Clinton.
Clearly the Clinton camp needs to rethink their campaign strategy. She does not seem to be able to connect with the average American voter and that is hurting her. Many think that she often talks above her constituents and gives an aura of her superiority to everyone else. They cannot seem to relate to her.
Obama on the other hand is able to connect with the average constituents with his message of hope that is resonating with younger voters and other demographics as well. He also emphasizes the hard work and obstacles that he overcame that has allowed him to rise from very humble beginnings to being elected as a Senator for Illinois. Many of his constituents can relate to that and see him as one of their own. This has allowed him to surge to the top. It will be interesting to see how these candidates end up once the race is finished.
Sunday, January 6, 2008
Obama opens double-digit lead over Clinton just 2 days ahead of the New Hampshire primary
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4 comments:
Clinton would be completely screwed if the masses found out she was part of a crazy organization that's trying to create a one world government.
The delicious irony of it all. (real conservative)
A prime example of the irrelevancy of election interlude polls. So long as no one actually had to make the choice the top of mind (media darling) candidate leads in the polls. When people are actually facing the choice the media hype plays less of a factor.
With John Edwards intervening in a New Hampshire debate to support Barack, it looks like he sees which way the wind is blowing.
I wish Rudy had put more effort into New Hampshire - he must be regretting it now.
On the plus side for Canada Barack seems to be more a free trader than other Democrats.
It is strange that a Hispanic candidate is not doing all that well nationally - maybe in future elections a strong Hispanic candidate will emerge.
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